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Sakmongkol ak 47

ariff.sabri@gmail.com

Wednesday 14 April 2010

Al Fatihah in Hulu Selangor.

I wrote a short article about Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah. Yesterday he turned 73. He is our longest serving MP. He is MP or Gua Musang since 1974.

Generally speaking, people get good wishes and payers by others. There was one comment that finds it amusing that people should be praising TRH. According to this remark, there is only one thing that stopped TRH from becoming PM. HIMSELF. I agree.

TRH is too gentleman and lacked the killer instinct. Like Dr Mahathir for example. He is Mahathir the Vanquisher just like Vlad was the impaler.

So what is the thing that will prevent BN from winning Hulu Selangor? ITSELF. It didn't heed the voices of the people. The people want a Malay MP. No two ways about it. Not racist or anything. Malay people just got tired of compromises especially, as it appears that its always them who are making way.

I have already written 2 articles on the prospects of the HS elections. I have outlined the causes that could lead to a BN loss. In my own estimate, BN has only about 17,000 secured votes. Call it BN's Fixed Deposit in Hulu Selangor. Assuming that only 80% of the 64k voters actually come out, BN needs another 10,000 votes to win this election.

Later we shall discuss what factor/s BN has that could earn it a WIN. For the moment, I am interested in outlining the causes that could lead to defeat.

I have mentioned candidate as one. BN is likely to field a candidate from MIC. It won't be Palanivel who certalnly would cause BN to earn a defeat. He has served 18 years as MP and still there are a lot of problems and grouses. What do those tell you? They tell us that Palanivel hasn't been working and they tell us, that people are tired of seeing Palanivel for the last 18 years.

If Palanivel couldn't win HS despite having served for 18 years and despite being an incumbent during the last GE, how could he win in a by election?

UMNO and BN isn't as strong as it wants the public to believe. If it's strong, they wouldn't be tripping over each other's legs rushing to Perlis to persuade that chinaman from MCA NOT to quit and therefore triggering off a by election. If its strong, it wouldn't mind going through a by elections. It will face the elections like an anak Jantan. In UMNO there is only one alpha male- Nazri Aziz. Others are faggots.

I want to know the role of Perkasa in this. It has been going around the country pompously and noisily claiming that it looks after Malay interest. Now if UMNO agrees to a non UMNO candidate in Hulu Selangor which means sidelining a Malay interest would warrior Ibrahim Ali unleash the keris which appears to be taller than him in protest? Mengamuk lah Brahim wok, calun dalam kawasan Melayu, bukan Melayu!

People will ask UMNO. What is your weltanschauung? What's your main agenda? UMNO will say it's looking out for the Malays. People will ask further, if that is the case, why aren't you fielding a Malay candidate? People will say if it is claimed that a non Malay can represent and fight for Malay interests, then a priori, a Malay can also do the same- fight for the interests of non Malays.

I received a text message from an unknown person. He asked- please vote for someone who can offer us Al Fatihah supplications when we are dead. PILIH LAH ORANG YANG BOLEH SEDEKAHKAN AL FATIHAH BILA KITA MATI.

That my friend is a powerful message that UMNO and BN have to face and maneuver around.

I promise, in the next few articles, I will write what I think can win BN this by election.

21 comments:

MANSOR JUNUS 14 April 2010 at 08:40  

Regardless of anything, survival of the malay depends on how they interprete politics. Its time to vote for your own skin and that should infact be the slogan of PERKASA. Chinese is doing just that in Penang.

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 08:41  

Dato'

No harm trying...

Still, DS Najib is in US serenading Obama. We don't think he is interested in your tirades.

However, we have a "I am Malay First" DPM who will announce that he is fielding an Indian Candidate. But Will He?

The Boss wants to see if he will ikut....Or he will get the Boot.

So, DPM, who is more important now? melayu First or Your Perut First?




Joe Black

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 08:57  

Dato'
Nak ketawa pun ada dan rasa sedih pun ada baca blog Dato' pagi ni.
Apa nak buat Dato', pemimpin UMNO yang ada sekarang ni mana ada telor untuk membuat perubahan.
Di Hulu selangor tu, apa nak di harapkan dengan pemimpin UMNO!!! Deris Abu Bakar ADUN tu dah bertahun tapi apa yang di buat nya kalau tak di padang Golf sahaja, nak baca Al Fatihah, kalau ajak ke masjid pun liat. Si Isa Adun sorang lagi tu...alahai Dato' cuba tengok latar belakang dia, jadi apa nak di harapkan, mereka tak kan berani nak bertegang urat dengan Najib dan Mdin mempertahankan Melayu....dua dua anak tempatan, dua dua pun tak bolih di harapkan.
SO, elok lah Zaid menang pun walau pun bukan anak tempatan tetapi anak Malaysia bukan Palinavil atau Mugilan!!! Tak tahu lah, kalau dua dua ni dah pandai baca Fatihah!!! Sekira nya anak tempatan menjadi isu UMNO/BN untuk menentang Zaid, saya cadangkan BN/UMNo lihat report card si Deris dan Isa ADUN BN tu dahulu sebelum dia backfire dan nasihatkan lah Zainal Sakom supaya tutup sahaja mulut dia tu jangan memalukan diri dan UMNO sahaja.
I think you should campaign for Zaid Dato'!!! Gua caya lu la!!!
Saya anak Hulu Selangor dah meluat!!! but will operate underground to hit BN support network!!! bet on you sir!!!

remgold 14 April 2010 at 08:57  

Kamu men-Dracula-man Mahathir dengan menggelarkannya Vlad the Impaler.
Dan men-faggotkan pemimpin Umno selain Nazi Aziz, oops Nazri.
Hanya kerana tak dapat kerusi di HulSel?
Kesian mereka :-)

Soalan: jika kerusi yg ada 19 peratus pengundi India tak diberi kpd MIC, kerusi mana yg nak diberi MIC? Yang di tengah-tengah Kelantan dan Terengganu ke?
Pengundi India dikatakan dah mula sejuk hati kepada Umno-BN, jadi jika diletak calon Melayu di kawasan mereka ramai pengundi dan menjadi kerusi tradisi India (MIC), mungkin mereka lari.
Kalau nak diberi kerusi kpd MIC hanya di mana ada majoriti kaum India, mana ada beb? Kalau kat Singapore ada - di Serangoon.

Jadi bagaimana nak selesaikan masalah ini? Atau anda nak sarankan diboikot saja MIC selagi ada Semi Value?

Dilema besar untuk Umno-BN, sebab Pakatan bijak kerana berkata: Tak kira bangsa apa pun kami letak, kami berjuang atas dasar, bukan bangsa.

Mungkin dasar parti mengikut kaum ni dah sampai masanya dibubarkan? Jadi di masa depan Umno-BN boleh letak calon Melayu di mana saja, 100 peratus?

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 10:23  

dato,

i am giving you a warning now for faggotting our mentri dlm negri. if you do not heed my warning, i will not hesitate to issue you with a stern warning.please stop this circus or else i will definitely give you the ultimate warning.

home office

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 10:45  

Dato,
Sebanyak banyak terima kasih and sekalung tahniah sekali lagi kerana artikel ini yang menyentuh jiwa melayu saya.

Bangunlah pemimpin melayu...kalau bangsa lain perjuangkan bangsa mereka dianggap patriot tapi kalau bangsa melayu berjuang dianggap rasis.

Adakah Melayu terlalu berbudi bahasa sehingga dianggap lembut.
Tidak cukup kah Singapura dikorbankan.

Melayu PERKASA. Ahli no: 110

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 10:56  

Salam Dato Sak,

Yes, Sedekah Al-Fatihah juga lah terbaik dari hamba Allah ingat untuk sedekah kepada si-mati yang juga Hamba Allah.

Unlike certain quarters sedekah Brabus dan scouting for more land to penetrate "development" as to achieve so-called high-income economy.

Yes. Nothing is wrong also with MIC and the rest rent-seeker so called kita tahu "cita-rasa" orang kampung kami mantra.

Yes. I also ponder where's IA and the rest of the Perkosa Crew?

Yes. Donate Half-a-Million towards Churches and the rest of Missionaries is akin to 1Malaysia.

Yes. UMNO/BN is en route and still dreaming ala Angan² Mat Jenin to grab back that 2/3 Majority.

Time will tell and ticking fast for Mr. PM

-Ikan Tongkol-

Anak jati Sg Choh,  14 April 2010 at 11:58  

Betul saudara cakap. Kalau kita nak Al-Fatihah di Hulu Selangor bukan dengan Palanivel atau lain-lain calon MIC.
Bukan juga dengan Zaid.
Si Zaid tak sesuai langsung. Dengarnya kaki botol. Kami tak kisah tu. Tapi yang kami mau tanya, taukah dia hati sanubari kami?
Apa masalah kami, apa yang kami perlukan.
Kami tak perlu dengar teori demokrasi, teori kehakiman, teori ketelusan.
Tak memberikan faedah apa-apa kepada kami yang kais pagi makan pagi, kais petang makan petang.
Kita nak orang yang susah senang bersama kita seperti Mat Taib.
Takkan Umno bankrap sangat calon Melayu nak beri charity kepada MIC yang bercita-cita nak menambah kerusi dan mendapat seorang lagi menteri.
Takkan nak menggunakan kami orang luar bandar menjadi batu loncatan TokSami dan Vel yang dah tiga penggal tak bekerja langsung.
Semalam syok dengar Muhyiddin cakap anak tempatan. Saya berfikir sendiri tak bernakna MIC kan?
Tapi cara MIC berkempen di sini macam mereka dah dianugerah kerusi itu.
Tolonglah Sak. Gunakanlah pengaruh mu untuk berbisik pada Muhyiddin.
Tapi nampaknya susah sebab Najib dah commit mesti MIC. No questions asked.

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 12:35  

If that is the case, then Umno must put candidates in 90% of all constituencies. This is because, most of them are Malay majority seats. Umno doesn't need BN if this is the case.

Muhyiddin must be happy that you agree with him when he say he is Malay first.

What say you?

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 12:42  

HEBAT PKR: Memang bijak PKR, calunnya nama Melayu TAPI perangai orgnya TIDAK MELAYU dan AGAMAnya kebetulan sahaja. Orgnya langsung tidak ada jiwa Melayu dan tidak percaya agama.

Semua org tahu 'beliau freethinker' dan KAKI ARAK, WISKY dari pagi sampai malam. Bukan perkara rahsia. Sokong perjuangan Sister-in-Islam (gulongan yg seleweng Islam), sokong IFC dan bawa dasar M'sian M'sia DAP. Beliau juga ada kuda lumba empat no ekor.

Pd DSAI, tidak mengapa sbb dia belakang depan boleh. PAS pun sokong KUAT sbb calun ini mungkin sama taraf dgn Saidina Hamzah ra, sama Guan Eng yg d nobat Khalifah Umar Abd. Aziz.

RINGKAS CALUN PKR UTK SGOR ADALAH BANGSA CELUP YG BUKAN MELAYU..TAKBIR..

Apa agaknya reaksi akarumbi PAS dengan pilihan Anwar ini?

Sementara itu, Papagomo melaporkan sini bahawa 1,500 orang tempatan keluar dari Dewan Komuniti Serendah Hulu Selangor sebaik Anwar mengumumkan nama Zaid Ibrahim. Rakan2 yang ada disana melaporkan semasa Zaid berucap, dewan separuh kosong.

Nak sangat orang Melayu hingga dapat calun orang Melayu yang terpaksa mengumumkan "Saya pun Melayu" kerana sudah hilang ciri-ciri keMelayuaan.

Macam mana dia ngaku jadi suara rakyat? Sebagai orang Kelantan, Zaid malu nak ngaku Kelantan. Dia seolah-olah malu nak kecek Kelate.

Sukhi Nahir,  14 April 2010 at 13:17  

Dato'
It is a sad day indeed when a person like you proposes that the only way for BN to win is by nominating a Malay candidate although you are, in my opinion, absolutely right.But it is a sad state of affairs.....I have always felt that given the kind of rhetoric from many quarters of the Malay leaders-govt and non-govt-they have created a "chicken and egg" situation in that the majority of the Malay population have been led to believe that loans, houses, non-necessity to repay loans, education, etc etc are their rights whether they merit it or not. To take advantage of this intrinsic belief, politicians keep jumping on this bandwagon by fanning the belief amongst them that this part of the Malaysian population-who are in the majority in most constituencies purely by fact of procreation (and who have done so because of the fact that whoever is the govt. will look after their children with welfare, education, etc to keep getting their ever increasing votes)- are entitled to many things at the expense of other peoples of Malaysia even if the others are more qualified. If this trend continues, Dato', there will come a time soon enough when our Parliament will, at least as far as West Malaysia is concerned , be 100% Malay MP's. And what quality of MP's-the kind that played on racial sentiment to win the votes of the majority in the election and who, during their tenure in Parliament, will continue to play on this with the next elections in mind. But will they be looking after the interests of even their Malay constituents? What happens to the interests of the Malaysians whose forefathers developed the tin mines, the roads, the towns the businesses, the govt administration. When to the BN, race becomes a factor in selecting a candidate, then it is a reflection of the way of thinking of the Malay population-that many of them will only vote on a racial basis and not on party or on the personal capabilities and quality of a candidate-Malay, Chinese, Indian,Kadazan, etc. They have got used to the hand-outs, they believe in all the rhetoric of the self-serving politicians and they are lost. They will be left with a formerly beautiful country (where people of different cultures lived and worked),that would end up poor, with disharmony and suspicion amongst the peoples with all its ramifications.
But Dato', you are right-for BN to win the HS by-election, they MUST choose a Malay candidate. But then what will be the message that will be sent by BN? But you are right Dato'. The sad thing is that when Malays like you think like this then what is the difference between you, Ibrahim Ali,Mohd Noh, etc.

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 13:36  

Que sera sera

what will be , will be

in hindi power terms, takdeer...

------------------------------

if man were to leave all the matters
of the nation to takdeer [will of god ]

he must realize that all good tidings
come from god

the bad news come from his own doing


so mr pee em
i guess leaving the matter of who will
win in hs will be decided ...

on the balance of probablity, mic will capoot

but that that would be a satisfying result for semi v

and not an undesirable outcome for most bn comprederos

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 14:32  

It's very hard to be a Malay in UMNO if he is not a racist.

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 15:47  

Dato

In this instance your reasoning seemed to have missed the mark(contradiction in blaming palanieval for not doing the job but then justifying your selection of a malay candidate because he is that - a malay candidate). Mr Remgold seemed to have nailed it. Shouldn't it be someone who can do the job instead of semeone with the right kulitfication? One of your commentator seemed to indicate that the chinese in Penang is voting based on their skin colour but i bet if LGE did a Palanieval he wont be there long.

JC

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 15:50  

Dont write lah. We don't want BN to win. It is that simple.

Anonymous,  14 April 2010 at 17:39  

Dato' SAK,

Apakah ini pendekatan "reverse Psychology"?. Banyak Blog sekarang ini dah hantam DZI. Tapi hanya seekor dua yang respon blog-blog itu berbanding blog Dato'.

Macam mana Brahim, terjepit ke.

Tunggu dan lihat ajer. Macam dah tahu je putusan nya.

TQ

bat8 14 April 2010 at 18:19  

dato,

l cant stand the comment of tis guy. He is a typical UMNO member. malu membaca komen seperti ini, ahamlah saya maksud dato mengenai sikap kita orang melayu.

" anon 14 April 2010 12:42

HEBAT PKR: Memang bijak PKR, calunnya nama Melayu TAPI perangai orgnya TIDAK MELAYU dan AGAMAnya kebetulan sahaja. Orgnya langsung tidak ada jiwa Melayu dan tidak percaya agama.

Semua org tahu 'beliau freethinker' dan KAKI ARAK, WISKY dari pagi sampai malam. Bukan perkara rahsia. Sokong perjuangan Sister-in-Islam (gulongan yg seleweng Islam), sokong IFC dan bawa dasar M'sian M'sia DAP. Beliau juga ada kuda lumba empat no ekor...."

tertanya-tanya, salah siapakah yang menyebabkan masih ada orang melayu, terutama golongan muda yang akan meneruskan legasi melayu dimasa hadapan ? Inikah contoh-contoh massa melayu yang akan membawa obor kelangsungan orang melayu dimasa hadapan?


bat8

Warga Sg Buaya,  14 April 2010 at 21:05  

Anon 12.42
Anak jati Sg Choh

Kita semua orang tau siapa Zaid.
Sperti kata Muhyiddin semua orang kenal Zaid. Dia banyak duit.
Itu saja. Tidak ada moral, tidak ada maruah.
Cuma yang bukan Melayu sibuk mendaulatkannya sebagai anak Malaysia tulin, pejuang tulin dan penegak kedaulatan.
Mak muntah dengar pujaan itu.
Pengundi Hulu Selangorpun tau menilai mana pemata mana kaca.
Jangan terkejut kalau undi rosak paling banyak tercipta di Hulu Selangor.
Saya dan keluarga serta sanak saudara dalam senarai itu.

Rawang mari,  14 April 2010 at 21:24  

Dont trust Zaid, people. I am an old friend of his. I know him too well.
Do you think he cares about the poor - Felda settlers, shop-keepers, small-holders. No friend, that is not his circle.
He has the largest firm in KL on Umno's patronage. Dont forget that.
I started with him as a lawyer but I am not politically connected. So still a small-time lawyer doing conveyancig.
Zaid, Hulu Selangor will be your WaterLoo. Is it a calculated risk of PKR to finish you off politically?
Cheers to you. A crate of Chivas Regal awaits you.
Or is it Hennessy V.S.O.P or Hennessy Cognac.

Anonymous,  15 April 2010 at 01:29  

Rawang mari, the reason you are still a "small-time lawyer doing conveyancig" is not because you are not politically connected. Its because you are damn bloody stupid.

yam seng!

loveMyKris

Anonymous,  15 April 2010 at 14:45  

Rawang mari,

With all the opportunities for Bumis under NEP, if you still cannot make it, then you deserve to be a "small-time lawyer doing conveyancing". Sour grapes ?

Why worry, let HS voters decide lah. If Zaid has so much baggage, UMNO should be very happy. So why complain ?

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