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Sakmongkol ak 47

Thursday, 29 November 2012

A Present for the UMNO Delegates- A Dead MCA.

There is a system in their madness. UMNO has to go to town saying Malays will be in danger should PR wins. DAP will dominate everything. The country will turn republic and Malay kings will be in danger. Islam will be sidelined. UMNO has to do this because it must do everything to keep Malays in check. Why? Because if only 30% of the Malay electorate in each of the parliamentary seat where MCA is the incumbent vote PKR, MCA is wiped out. UMNO wants to save its Islam bashing partner at all costs even if it means speaking like an infidel.
MCA on the other must do everything to keep the Chinese intact. It is facing an uphill battle. MCA has lost its credibility and relevance. It goes to town, saying if PR wins, then PAS will talibanise everything. You can’t play mahjong, eat pork, bah kut teh, wash hair, yam seng and all that. MCA must say, PAS will restrict everything.
UMNO and MCA are playing two sides of the same coin, but the subterfuge is not fooling everyone. How do we kill off MCA for good? There is a simple formula. if only 30% of the Malay voters vote Pakatan and 80% of non-Malay voters vote the same way, MCA is finished. This is all we need. MCA can lose all its 15 seats.
The prospects of eliminating MCA are good. 80-85% of non-Malays are supporting Pakatan and 50% of the Malays will vote for Pakatan. We have many instances where voters in  areas with Malay majority giving substantial support to Pakatan. A place like Jerantut in Pahang which is almost 90% Malay gave 46% support to PR. Therefore UMNO can’t assume that just because an area has a majority Malay electorate, it can get big support. In 2008, UMNO candidates got only 2 million votes from the 5.7 million Malay voters. That’s only 35% Malay support.
But let us use 30% Malay support for Pakatan as a benchmark. Assume also that 80% of non-Malays support Pakatan. UMNO knows that it has to get big Malay support otherwise its doomed. That is why it using all the dirty tricks- racism, the specter of racial clash, the demise of Malay royalty, the assault on Islam.
So that we won’t have to see the fornicating face of Soi Lek, puke at seeing Wee Ka Siong and Ms Yen Yen, all we need is to ensure the 30:80 formula. Just get 30% of Malay support in the MCA areas and ensure we get 80% non-Malay support.  
Only 30% of Malay voters are what we need. If 30% of the Malay voters in the seats MCA won in 2008, now vote for PR- MCA is finished. If voting goes along the same line as it did in 2008, UMNO is already doomed. So we can treat UMNO’s General Assembly now as a just a sideshow- its last before the party crumbles.
Let’s do as what UMNO shouts for and let us take on what UMNO says. If the Malays heed what UMNO wants, they should withdraw their support from these MCA seats. MCA is your enemy. Its president made fun of Islam -does not the Quran command the Muslims to not make friends with Muslims and non Muslims who make fun and belittle Islam? See Quran 5:57.
MCA has 15 parliamentary seats most of them in Johor. Out of the 7 seats in Johor, only 2 have Malay majority. It’s sinful for the Malays in Air Hitam and Alor Star to vote for MCA infidels. Do like the Quran instruct- do not take them as friends or protectors because they have soiled Islam.
The following Table shows the voter profile in the 15 seats MCA currently holds.

Assume 80% of population actually vote
Malay voters
Non-malay voters
30% Malays
 vote PR

80% non malays vote PR
PR gets





MCA stands a fighting chance in Air Hitam, alor star, alor gajah. Air Hitam is the seat of Wee Ka Siong, Alor Gajah is where Liaw Tiong Lai wants to shift to and Alor Star is where the assumption of only 30% of Malays voting for PR is weak. MCA is actually safe in only 2 seats- Air Hitam and Alor Gajah.
It is clear that in all the seats, if only 30% of the Malays there vote PR while 80% of non-Malays vote PR, MCA is finished as a political party. Why should the Malays in Air Hitam support Wee Ka Siong for example? MCA is a racist party consisting of anti-Islam Chinese. MCA is confrontational. Malays in Batu Pahat know the real anti Malay character of Chua Soi Lek.
After the elections, we will still allow MCA people to play mahjong, wash hair, yamseng and whatever they like. We won’t prevent you from your charkuat sessions either.


Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 17:43  

Just remove this MCA pillar and a small wave will make Umno crumble

Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 17:46  

Danger presents opportunity in Chinese. There is grave danger to MCA come next GE. It also mean great opportunity for some. Printing companies for example. Hell notes printing companies.

Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 18:40  


I do not want to sound racist. As a strategy, PR should put malay candidates against MCA in areas where 50% are malays.

Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 19:36  

A.T.U.R !
Aku Tak Undi Rasis!

Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 20:44  

Salam Dato,

Perhimpunan Agung UMNO seakan-akan Perhimpunan 40 penyamun dalam cerita Ali Baba dengan 40 Penyamun. 40 penyamun dulu berhimpun dalam gua untuk mengumpulkan harta samun kini mereka berkumpul di gua PWTC. Menjerit terlolong kononnya berjuang untuk melayu tapi sebenarnya menyamun harta oreang melayu.

Mohd Zuki

Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 21:23  

As usual, an excellent and detailed analysis. MCA is definately doomed to ZER0 seats in the upcoming GE.

Malaysian Kooi,  29 November 2012 at 21:23  

Looking at the table, i am very convinced that it wasn't the Malays but the Chinese who gave BN total victory for the past 50 odd years. Wonder these stupid China koois will yet again give their undivided support to BN, come GE 13. Me thinks the Chinese in Sarawak are much better informed people.

Anonymous,  29 November 2012 at 22:17  

The May 13 comment by the Cow Lady should hasten the demise of MCA.
MCA paid dearly when Chew Mei Fun said the same thing. Umno just gave it a coup de grace.

bruno,  29 November 2012 at 22:19  

First of all if 35-45% of Malays or maybe higher do not vote for Umno,what maks sense is that 55-65%of Malays will not vote for the tongkat,crutches and wheelchair Mca.That means the Mca will get decimated this coming GE.

bruno,  29 November 2012 at 22:36  

Talking sense.

If two of Umno's most vocal, staunchest and most hardcore supporters Quiet Despair and his uncle the Kampong man are missing from the blogosphere,something must be very very very wrong.

OneMalaysian,  29 November 2012 at 23:36  

Dear Sakmongkol

I follow the UMNO GA, and it sounds like a big comedy show performed by inmates in a psychiatric ward. UMNO has been elevated to God’s chosen party, it seems. God has also appointed an Indian to help liberate the Malays in God’s chosen land – Tanah Melayu. I didn’t say this. The UMNO youth info chief Reezal Merican did. If UMNO Indian Muslims like him are so useful to the Malays, may I suggest we open our doors and allow another 180 million of them to come in from India. That would make this liberation job much easier.

As for the MCA, the two safe seats of Alor Star and Alor Gajah have Malay majorities. There are rumours that UMNO will contest all such seats. Their sidekick, MCA, will have to make do with Chinese-majority seats. That should be some fun.

bruno,  30 November 2012 at 01:16  

Dato,first things first.If one were to walk around the towns and the kampongs,the ones eager for change could not be more enthustic then ever.While the Umno diehards and paid troopers are so dishearten and wandering directioness.You could even hear a pin dropping ten metres away.

With scandals after scandals involving Umno leaders coming out of the woodworks,it is just a matter of time before even the rats will be out in droves looking for a change of habitat.

Before scandals are mostly from the men in Umno.Now even the leaders from Wanita Umno are scrambling for the limelights,trying to outdo the men from Umno.The latest being a Selangor Wanita Umno leader trying to screw the protege of Mama Rosmah,a carpetman cum bagman named Deepak.

So carpie Deepak went running to Mama Rosmah.But as this lady shark is from Wanita Umno,Mama Rosmah could not forced Najib to settle the issue.So as Najib sits on his hands,crybaby Deepak went running to the opposition online portals to voice his griviences.So this Thambi is spilling the beans on Najib as well.

In Umno loyalty among the warlords and cronies is the sign of the ringgit.When the flow of the ringgit stops it will be a dog eat dog world.That is the reason the warlords in Umno will finished the fight for the PR before the show even begins.

bumi-non-malay 30 November 2012 at 02:35  

Lets make the crumble more violent by also removing MIC and PPP.....and see how many imaginary pillars UMNO stands on....

The tender list to build Hotel Bamboo River is getting hot....very hot.....don't forget me yah. I want to win the tender and give the "guest" the same quality food those ISA detainees and Refugees detanies get for all those tokoh tokoh UMNO, MIC, MCA and their families....

monsterball 30 November 2012 at 04:25  

They are chosen by God to govern Malaysia.
Anwar is the Great Betrayer.
Tok Guru Aziz is the great Deceiver...and many more idiotic speeches made at the Umno Assembly.
I enjoy reading and laughing cannot help.
PR accuses them for being corrupted.
Their tit for tat is out of order and low class.

Suci Dalam Debu 30 November 2012 at 06:06  


Who will support the colleges(UTAR, AIMST etc) if MCA, MIC and BN were to lose GE13?

This is a real unspoken fear factor for non-Malays to support PR. Assurance needs to be given loud and clear.

bruno,  30 November 2012 at 07:01  

Before Umno thought that it could go it alone without the Mca,Mic and Gerakan.So they let Abrahim Ali belittle them.The one that got the most of the end of the stick was CSL.Umno let Abrahim Ali chased the naked CSL down the streets of KL.

Now that Umno knows that it is fighting for its own survival,and need the once discarded siblings,it is trying to give the down trodden donkeys a new lease of live.It is to little to late as the noose is finally getting tighter and tighter.

Anonymous,  30 November 2012 at 09:39  

Assallammuallaikum, Bumi-non-Malay, your comment "The tender list to build Hotel Bamboo River is getting hot....very hot.....don't forget me yah. I want to win the tender and give the "guest" the same quality food those ISA detainees and Refugees detanies get for all those tokoh tokoh UMNO, MIC, MCA and their families." Hit them where it hurts the most. Make them pay for everything they have at Bamboo River Resort. For example, they may not want to sleep on the normal prisoners bed, charge them by the day for a comfortable bed. If they do not like the food, charge them for a better food. My dear friend, they have lots of money, why must the government be burdened by their expenses, charge them extravagantly for all the facilities and amenities provided to them.

Anonymous,  30 November 2012 at 09:44  

Could you do a study on the voting pattern in Bakri (Johor) in the last GE.
It was Chua Jui Meng's seat- an MCA fort. In 2008 it was given to a senator cum lawyer (a Chua Soi Lek supporter.)
As soon as he was nominated in Bakri he threw a big party - a free for-all dinner - as he was 100% confident of winning.
And more, the DAP had put up a token candidate, Er Tek Hwa, a JPJ runner.
Meanwhile, Er went to a temple to pray that he would lose his RM 10,000 deposit. That's all he had wanted. (You can confirm with him this story since you are in DAP now).

When the results were announced - lo and behold - shock of all shocks -
DAP won the seat!!!!!
And more the PAS candidate in Sungai Abong state seat in Bakri (an UMNO forte) won the seat.
Another PAS candidate won the Maharani state seat in Muar, whipping UMNO.

Use these seats as benchmark and you will know what's in store in Johor for PR.

Anonymous,  30 November 2012 at 09:58  

the loud applaud and incessant cheering from the delegates when the PM and DPM gave their speeches respectively at the UMNO and its respective wings GA seems to be missing this time around.just wonder why ?

on MCA, never before has any MCA president been so hated by the chinese populace as CSL (his son also),wherever there are gathering of chinese, be it coffee shop, mah jong table,wedding dinner,the market or even morning group exercise,the 'T' word is directed at him non stop.

everytime CSL open his mouth, more chinese are driven away from BN. CSL has now become the most valuable asset for PR, which comes at no cost to PR,a real Godsend.

the latest revelation by the Paki seems to confirm the rumours of conspiracy inside UMNO to remove the president before the GE. the finale to this conspiracy seems to be happening soon.

interesting times ahead.....

Anonymous,  30 November 2012 at 10:35  

Those two are considering jumping ship before its too late. They are now thinking of the best excuse.

Anonymous,  30 November 2012 at 10:44  

MCA is so detached from the aspirations of the people (not just the Chinese community) and there is no better indication than the recent 2 public outcries against Lynas and the Education Blue Print. Do you see any MCA leaders? The Chinese in general DON'T depend on the govt but we do want GOOD GOVERNANCE where transparency, fairness and accountability must be the basis of all policies.

Sumpitan Emas,  30 November 2012 at 23:57  

Anon- 09:39
You beat me to this tender thing, but do supply lots of bananas every day. It will help the chaps there to feel close to the cousins swinging with joy from branch to branch, even without the FGV options. It is an uplifting experience like how I had felt surviving largely on it while preparing to go to university. It is uplifting because one climbs from a low branch as a hungry male bewildered by happenings behind the bush and after some time come out feeling like a proper ape knowing exactly what smart apes do with other apes when no one is watching.

Bamboo River Resort would be a bargain compared to life in the UK, but first the new government must take up Mohd Zuki's suggestion for 'peruntukkan tambahan' to extend the facilities. But, give this contract to my relatives, please - lu tolong gua gua tolong lu. OK?

A further suggestion, build a high wall separating the women's section. You know the horny specimens we have around. If this is not done, 9 months later, there will be lots of shrill bawling from the other side.

Suci Dalam Debu, agreed we will never do what others did to Ceausescu and Gaddafi. We are above that because at least here, I think, something from Indonesia's past and present has at last rubbed into us despite our reluctance to acknowledge their richer culture and history.

Very quickly, when Henry Pu Yi was dethroned his life was spared, and China gained an expert gardener. When India became a Republic, there was no massacre of blue-bloods. When King Farouk was displaced, the good soldiers allowed him and his family to depart for Rome in a ship with as much as they could load into it. Only when Hoveyda was executed in Iran in 1979 did my heart miss a beat for the needless break from the past.

The Spring period Emperors, the Pharoahs, the Maharajas who chanted from the Bhagavad Gita, and the Sultans of ancient Indonesian kingdoms in Java and Bali, all left something behind. Only Zoroaster and King Darius failed to inspire, what a shame.

So for us Bamboo River Resort it is. Would you join me in building Bamboo River Bahagia Inn, for the mentally challenged? I am assuming 'Bamboo River' is not yet a Registered Trademark. This is 'Bamboo Forest' strategy - thinking way beyond providing creature comforts to make the last part of a long journey as quiet and dignified as possible for a closely-knit community of those who had stolen too much, and repentant at last but unable to cope with the thought of having to leave the comfortable Resort life they had grown used to, for home and family. Only a ‘home’ near the Resort can give these ex-holiday makers a semblance of the good life they had had earlier. Here in this new home, at competitive tariffs for long-term guests, they can continue mumbling sweet nothings to each other, with straight-jackets available at no extra charge. I am 100% confident this inn would make money as more and more move out from Bamboo River Resort. More profits, more taxes, more money for development. Win-Win all the way.

Anonymous,  1 December 2012 at 09:16  

Dear Datuk Sak

The remaining 20% of the Chinese community who continue to support
BN are the financial beneficiaries of this morally bankrupt system of pseudo-democratic, rent-seeking, oil revenue-wasting, semi-apartheid that UMNO Baru has constructed.

A system that has not only made Malaysia an international laughing stock (e.g. the farcical "sodomy" trials), a nation with public policies full of hypocrisy (e.g. condemning racism and institutionalised racial discrimination in Israel and the Occupied Territories while practising it in Malaysia), but is also threatening the nation with bankruptcy and economic ruin and "failed state" status.

Phua Kai Lit

Anonymous,  1 December 2012 at 10:10  

Dear Datuk Sak

One more comment:

When a political party adopts policies that undercuts its very
own political base (e.g. FELDA listing, approving Lynas project in Malay area such as Gebeng), it is very likely to be beyond redemption.

It shows that greed and corruption has overtaken logic and basic political reasoning.

Phua Kai Lit

Patrick 3 December 2012 at 02:22  

I feel a large sense of lethargy in this recently concluded UMNO GA. There seems to be a lot of reservation and the mood more tended. Too much back door wheeling dealing by various factions and their supporters. Its the final and last opportunity to jostle for nomination. After this, it'll be massive implosion by rejected candidates.

BN's greatest enemy is within. With so much uncertainty, no warlord is going to spend freely for support. MCA and other component parties are gone and DOA.

Looks more like Najib/rosmah will squeeze as much money from desperate wannabe-candidates before their demise.

Anonymous,  6 December 2012 at 20:49  

Just study how Obama won the recent elections by ethnicity:

Whites (the majority) voted 57% for Romney, 41% for Obama. Obama won 70-80% of Hispanics,Blacks and minorities.

While i'm hoping for the end of race based politics, the numbers do prove itself. Win significant % (SAY 80%) of the minorities and gain just enough of the majority (SAY 30-40%) = WIN


Anonymous,  12 April 2013 at 17:44  

"A Present for the UMNO Delegates- A Dead MCA." is a good article to read.

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