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Sakmongkol ak 47

ariff.sabri@gmail.com

Sunday, 16 May 2010

A Sibu Sunday


 

Today, the town of Sibu goes to the ballot box. Will BN retain this seat?

It's going to be a very close finish in Sibu. This current PM breaks with convention by going down to campaign in by elections. Since it's only a convention and if it serves no advantage, it can be broken and no explanation need be given. It only shows that the leadership is determined to win. We want a determined leadership. Plus we are in this game to win.

Sibu has a population of around 52,000 people, comprising of 67 % Chinese, 10% Malays and 23% Sarawak Bumis. It's impossible for the DAP to garner total support from the Chinese community. The BN Chinese candidate comes from an influential family. He enjoys reasonable standing in Sibu. Therefore, it's not a foregone conclusion with regards to DAP's mastery over Sibu's Chinese voters, kampua mee or not.

Right now BN probably has a 3000 vote advantage in the form of postal votes and other guaranteed voters. It can lose if support from the Chinese community dips below 35%. If BN gets at least 40% of the Chinese votes, then BN should win Sibu with around 1000 vote- majority. Let us say that today, on this Sunday, 42,000 people vote. A likely scenario is as follows:-

Voters

BN

DAP

Postal votes

3000

0

Chinese

10,000

18,000

Malay

3000

1000

Sarawak Bumis

7000

3000

TOTAL

23,000

22,000


 

The crucial voting block is the Chinese voters. If BN can secure at the very least 35%, it can win this election by a hair thin margin of around 1000 votes. The DAP is strong, yes- but significantly among the Chinese community. Earlier on I said- that if the Sibus working in Semanjung choose to go back and vote, then BN's chances of winning is greatly compromised. We haven't heard of an exodus of Sibu people from Semenanjung.

That should be good news for BN.

13 comments:

NGINAP SRENGENGE 16 May 2010 at 09:54  

Salam ,

With a little bit more of cheating,BN will win with 2000 majority.

Without that postal post BN has no hope.

Sayonara.

Anonymous,  16 May 2010 at 09:58  

All the best to BN Sarawak. Its a sure win Bahh!

Kitak Menang

Anonymous,  16 May 2010 at 12:37  

With more cheating by lackey EC transfering Pro-DAP voters and 1-Mly bribing by our 1-Mly PM, how can you lose.

"I help you, You help me"
"5mil for you, 500mil for me"

Wikipedia 16 May 2010 at 13:23  

Yeah your party from hell (UmNO is in the game to win and to win at any cost with no morals. See your shameless president dishing out bribes (make a deal? You help me, I help you language of corruption) knowing well that our blasted gutless institutions will not persecute blatant election bribery. So Datuk Sak support bribery.

UMNO may still win in this world but wish all of you "all the best" in the afterworld.

Electoral Fraud

JENN SHING 16 May 2010 at 13:50  

DAP will win hands down this round because Najib the 1PM for Malaysia, fucked up when he goes to sibu thinking the PROUD and HARDWORKING FOOChow people can be bought with their own money....

Quiet Despair,  16 May 2010 at 16:21  

BN still has the edge. It will win with a majority of 2,800 to 3,200.
People in Sabah and Sarawak are the least racist in Malaysia.
BN can consider the two states as their fixed deposits.
But I am sad that this time around, the DAP and its people have been corrupting the innocece of the Sarawakians.
They are playing the Allah issue and the racist cards which can dent the votes of previously BN voters.

yoong 16 May 2010 at 22:31  

foo chow tell najib: we worked hard for our money..every cents earned and saved.... cut all the bull shit..this is a beginning ..sibu is the 1st signal.

Anonymous,  16 May 2010 at 23:48  

Something is not right with the BN brand now. They poured more money than in HS for Sibu, voter turnout at only 60% (attributed to low urban turnout, which should spell trouble for PR). But what happened? BN fell and hit the ground hard! Not counting the postal votes, the majority was 3000 plus! So what gives? It is political maturity - i guess.

Anonymous,  17 May 2010 at 00:57  

The results are out and now its time for cancelling the post dated cheques.

Sibu folks will know that they are holding worthless pieces of paper called 'cheques' from the Federal government.

flyer168 17 May 2010 at 03:57  

Dato',

The probability that we may fail in the struggle ought not to deter us from the support of a cause we believe to be just - Abraham Lincoln

I am a firm believer in the people. If given the truth, they can be depended upon to meet any national crises. The great point is to bring them the real facts - Abraham Lincoln

You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time - Abraham Lincoln

Cheers.

Anonymous,  17 May 2010 at 07:54  

Those who received the post dated cheques should try to cash it. It will be rejected but the rejected cheques will appreciate in value to more than its written value as a memento of BN President's desperate act to win a buy election in Sibu.
DAP's win in Sibu should open the eyes of the PM that plundering the wealth of the state of Sarawak by The White Hair family is no more tolerated by the people.
Observer

Anonymous,  17 May 2010 at 08:24  

Dato',

Glad you're wrong. Like your writing although I'm from the other side. A smart guy like you should not be sleeping in that can of worms!

Cheers!

Anonymous,  17 May 2010 at 14:58  

Like Anon 8:24, I am wondering why are you still in there with the worms.

Belum dapat hidayah?

-MAKORANG-

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